Severe Thunderstorm Watch 157

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 157
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Wed Jun 6 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central Iowa
Extreme Northeast Kansas
Extreme Northwest Missouri
Eastern Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY…Storms developing along several diffuse boundaries are
expected intensify this afternoon and spread eastward and
southeastward through the evening hours. They will pose a threat
for large hail and damaging wind gusts as they expand in area over
the next few hours.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles southwest of
Columbus NE to 15 miles northeast of Des Moines IA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update


REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce

Communication & Transparency

I was meaning to write this post last month after the city council meeting on April 16th, but between leaving for Kansas City later that week and end-of-semester projects at work I haven’t really had a chance to sit down and do it. I was rather disappointed by some of the posts on Facebook ahead of that meeting, namely those by city council members including one questioning “why people were posting about a topic on Facebook instead of coming to the council meeting.” For starters, the post in question started out specifically saying to go to the upcoming council meeting on the 16th. Second, people are going to talk things the mayor & council do because they can wherever and whenever they wish, be it on Facebook or at the cafe, whether you like it or not. Second, you complain about people “spreading rumors” yet you insisted people had to come to the council meeting, where you read a canned statement that could have been posted online days earlier instead of leaving things open to speculation over an entire weekend.

I still question if the claims about the mayor were truly a rumor, since two years ago I was at a meeting in Boone and was asked afterwards by an attendee (who lives clear across the county from me) “if I had met Madrid’s new Public Safety Director”. I responded “No, we don’t have a public safety director, we have a new Fire Chief..” He then proceeded to tell me about what then-Mayor Ringgenberg had told him. No mention of the city creating this position had been made in the Madrid paper. Why am I finding out things that the mayor & council are doing from somebody on the other side of Boone County before it ever comes up in a council meeting?

Council members also talk about residents not having information, yet make no effort to make information available to residents. Council meeting agendas aren’t posted to the city’s website until hours before the meeting, or in some cases after the meeting is over. The council meetings are held at 5:30 PM, which while convenient for the council who have maybe 5 minute commutes from their workplaces, not so much for residents who work in Des Moines and are still working or in their cars at 5:30. Woodward has their council meetings at 7:00, as do Granger and Ogden. Slater has their meetings at 7:30.  Polk City and Boone have their council meetings at 6:00, both of which also their meetings and post them on YouTube. Most of them also include more information in their minutes than Madrid’s, then again so does about every other city in the state.  I checked the city’s website on April 15th for the council agenda for the meeting the following night, nothing. Meanwhile I downloaded the entire public council packet for West Des Moines (who, along with Des Moines, broadcast their meetings on a city cable TV channel and stream it live on their websites.)

It’s 2018, time for the mayor & council to catch up with the rest of the world.






I haven’t dug into the forecast real far today but it looks to be a hot one this weekend. Highs this weekend into the holiday are forecast right around 90 so drink plenty of water if you’re planning to be outside, especially on the trail or the river.

The Rest of the Week…

Glancing at the alert map we now have Winter Storm Warnings posted for most of the northern 1/3rd of the state, down to along the US 20 corridor, and as far down as the US 30 corridor in eastern Iowa from around Benton County east to the Mississippi River. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the remainder of the US 30 corridor west of Benton County and much of the I-80 corridor as well as the I-29 corridor north of US 30.

It’s been a couple days and a dozen model runs since I wrote my rough forecast post for the convention I’m traveling to tomorrow (Thursday) so I’m going back and updating things.

Breakfast (7 AM): Mid to Upper 30s
Lunch (1 PM): Low 50s
Evening (7 PM): Low 50s
Overnight (1 AM Friday): Low 40s

Breakfast: Mid to Upper 30s
Lunch: Mid 50s
Evening: Upper 50s
Overnight (1 AM Saturday): Upper 40s

Breakfast: Mid 40s
Lunch:  Upper 40s to Low 50s chance of rain
Evening: Low 50s
Overnight (1 AM Sunday): Upper 40s

Breakfast: Lower to Mid 40s
Lunch: Now that we’re closer things are looking more consistent. Mid to Upper 50s.

The Week Ahead..

So I’m taking a short (3hr) road trip south later this week into the weekend so I thought I would work out a forecast and share it. We’re a few days out yet and most of this is based on only one model (US GFS) so it may well change between now and then.

Breakfast (7 AM): Upper 30s
Lunch (1 PM): Mid 50s
Evening (7 PM): Upper 50s
Overnight (1 AM Friday): Mid to Upper 40s

Breakfast: Low to Mid 40s
Lunch: Mid 50s
Evening: Upper 50s, possibly a chance of rain in which case temps in low 50s
Overnight (1 AM Saturday): Upper 40s to Low 50s, possible chance of rain

Breakfast: Mid 40s, chance of rain
Lunch: Mid to Upper 40s, chance of rain
Evening: Mid 40s
Overnight (1 AM Sunday): Lower 40s

Breakfast: Lower 40s
Lunch: Things aren’t so consistent here. Upper 40s to around 60.

Henry just put up a write-up on the next round of winter weather for northwest & north central Iowa so I won’t rehash that here.

Winter Storm/Severe Weather 4/13/18

So it’s Friday the 13th.

Looking at today’s forecast for the state, it’s pretty much all the storms (which of them depends on your exact location). We could see rain, hail, snow, tornadoes, blizzards.. you get it. I have a meeting after work so I will not be out chasing anything and most likely helping with things over at Iowa Weather Network once the meeting wraps up.

Spring? Maybe?

Are we maybe finally done with winter?

SPC’s Severe Weather Outlook for Sunday:

Winter Storm 2/19-20


Okay so today we have a Wind Advisory going into effect at 9 AM until 2 PM this afternoon for a good chunk of the state for sustained winds of 30 MPH with gusts up to 45 MPH. We also have a Dense Fog Advisory for east central Iowa until 10 AM.

Monday & Tuesday

Two rounds of freezing rain will move through the state with some areas seeing around a tenth of an inch, while others may see more significant icing with accumulations of around a quarter to half of an inch, potentially resulting in power outages and tree damage. The areas with the greatest icing potential have had Winter Storm Watches posted. More details will be coming later today.

Current Advisories by County
Monona, Woodbury, Plymouth, Sioux – Winter Weather Advisory from 12 AM  to 12 PM Monday

Osceola, Dickinson, O’Brien, Clay, Cherokee, Buena Vista, Ida – Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM Today, Winter Weather Advisory from 12 AM tonight to 12 PM Monday

Emmet, Kossuth, Winnebago, Worth, Palo Alto, Hancock, Cerro Gordo, Pocahontas, Humboldt, Wright, Franklin, Sac, Calhoun, Webster, Hamilton, Crawford, Carroll, Greene, Boone, Audubon, Guthrie – Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM Today, Winter Weather Advisory from 12 AM tonight until 3PM Monday

Butler, Bremer, Hardin, Grundy, Black Hawk, Story, Marshall, Dallas, Polk, Jasper, Madison, Warren, Union, Clarke, Ringgold, Decatur –  Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM Today, Winter Storm Watch from Monday Evening to Tuesday Morning

Tama, Poweshiek, Marion, Lucas – Winter Storm Watch from Monday Evening to Tuesday Morning

Mitchell, Floyd – Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 3PM this afternoon, Winter Weather Advisory from 12 AM tonight to 6 PM Tuesday

Howard, Winneshiek, Chickasaw – Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 3PM this afternoon, Winter Storm Watch from Monday Morning through Tuesday Afternoon

Allamakee, Fayette, Clayton – Winter Storm Watch from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Afternoon



Net Neutrality III – Grassley Response

So I received an email from Senator Grassley yesterday regarding Net Neutrality.

Winter Storm Update 2

The NWS in Des Moines sent out an update after the previous post went live. The map above shows the latest warnings and advisories, thanks to Henry over at Iowa Weather Network.